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ERF:EURONEXT PARISEurofins Scientific SE Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time

€61.48

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Eurofins Scientific (ERF) is trading at €61.48, well above its DCF‑derived fair value of €25.0, indicating a substantial premium. Technical signals are mixed: the 14‑day RSI sits at 30.7 (near oversold), while the MACD histogram is negative and the MACD line remains below its signal, suggesting bearish momentum. Price action hovers just above the identified support level of €60.32 and below the 20‑day SMA of €65.68, reinforcing a neutral to slightly bearish short‑term bias. The stock’s beta of 0.26 and 30‑day volatility of 23.3% point to relatively low market‑related risk, yet the company carries a high debt‑to‑equity ratio of 96.8%, which could amplify downside in stressed credit conditions. Fundamentals show modest revenue growth of 4.3% YoY, a gross margin of 22.5% and an operating margin of 13.3%, with free cash flow of €492 M supporting a 0.97% dividend yield and a comfortable payout ratio of 23.5%. The forward PE of 13.1 is below the industry average of 26.2, hinting at value appeal, but the elevated leverage and overvaluation relative to intrinsic estimates temper enthusiasm. Overall, the market sentiment is in “Greed” mode (Fear‑Greed Index 72.9), but material news is limited to routine regulatory filings and director share‑holding disclosures, offering no clear catalyst. Investors should weigh the attractive dividend and cash generation against the pricing premium and balance‑sheet risk before deciding on exposure.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • RSI near oversold suggesting limited upside
  • Price just above support level
  • Bearish MACD histogram

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Significant premium to DCF fair value
  • High debt‑to‑equity ratio
  • Stable dividend yield with low payout

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Consistent cash flow generation
  • Modest revenue growth and solid margins
  • Valuation gap suggests limited upside

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth4.30%
Profit Margin6.51%
P/E Ratio24.1
ROE9.50%
ROA5.51%
Debt/Equity96.84
P/B Ratio3.1
Op. Cash Flow€1.4B
Free Cash Flow€492.5M
Industry P/E26.2

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI30.7
Support€60.32
Resistance€68.72
MA 20€65.68
MA 50€67.76
MA 200€63.28
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Fair Value€25.03
Target Price€71.71
Upside/Downside16.63%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield0.97%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.26
Volatility23.32%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.